Tuesday, July 9, 2024

How does agricultural productivity growth affect agrifood system transformation goals?

9 July 2024. How does agricultural productivity growth affect agrifood system transformation goals? Exploring trade-offs using IMPACT

Co-organized by IFPRI and the CGIAR Initiative on Foresight.Webinar Series – IFPRI Modeling Systems: Informing Future Pathways and Priorities for Agrifood Systems.

Agrifood systems are complex and changing, so it is critical to explore different potential futures to inform decisions today that can put the world on a better path for livelihoods, health, and the environment. In the coming decades, changes in population, income, and diets will put increasing pressure on agrifood systems to meet evolving food demands and improve food security. With climate change, limited scope for cropland expansion, and growing water scarcity, investments in agricultural R&D to improve productivity are crucial to meet these challenges sustainably. 

This webinar explored recent analyses using the IMPACT modeling system. It discussef how alternative investment options, including scenarios focused on agricultural research, could help meet future food demands sustainably and equitably.It also explored potential trade-offs between different strategies and goals.

  • Alan Rennison, Senior Program Officer, Global Development, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF)
  • Presentation Timothy Sulser, Senior Scientist, Foresight and Policy Modeling Unit, IFPRI
  • Chin Yee Chan, Scientist, WorldFish
  • Discussant Robert Bertram, Chief Scientist, Bureau for Resilience and Food Security, United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
  • Moderator Dolapo Enahoro, Senior Agricultural Economist, Policy, Institutions and Livelihoods program, International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)

Watch previous webinars in this series:

What does climate change mean for the future of agriculture? Insights from the IMPACT modeling system (May 15, 2024)

How do we prioritize agrifood system policies and investments? Insights from the RIAPA modeling system (June 12, 2024)

Resource


The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model documentation for version 3.6

Citation: Robinson, Sherman; Dunston, Shahnila; Mishra, Abhijeet; Sulser, Timothy B.; Mason-D’Croz, Daniel; Robertson, Richard D.; Cenacchi, Nicola; et al. 2024. The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model documentation for version 3.6. Modeling Systems Technical Paper 1. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/148953

Abstract: The International Food Policy Research Institute’s IMPACT model is a robust tool for analyzing global and regional challenges in food, agriculture, and natural resources. Continuously updated and refined, IMPACT version 3.6 is the latest update to the model for continuously improving the treatment of complex issues, including climate change, food security, and economic development. IMPACT 3.6 multimarket model integrates climate, crop simulation, and water models into a comprehensive system, providing decision-makers with a flexible platform to assess the potential impacts of various scenarios on biophysical systems, socioeconomic trends, technologies, and policies.

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