Do subsidised, highly efficient Dutch farmers push African farmers out of their markets? ECDPM and Wageningen University researched this question for the Dutch Foreign Ministry and the Dutch Parliament (Tweede Kamer).
ECDPM analysed the trade data, selected two in-depth cases with the highest probability of structural negative impacts – and, based on econometric analysis and interviews, found that there were no such harmful impacts in these cases. This also indicates that impacts in other cases would likely be very limited.
No impact is surprising – why is that?
Why no impacts, then? Trade data shows that Dutch food exports to ‘vulnerable countries’ are declining, and there are few instances where they have a substantial market share and attribution of impact is possible.
Two cases were selected: onion exports to Senegal and potato exports to Côte d'Ivoire ($ 33.3 million volume and 71% market share for onions to Senegal; $ 10.0 million and 84% for potatoes to Côte d'Ivoire).
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